Lisburn Distillery vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
LAR
0 - 1
LIS
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
BAL
0 - 4
LIS
27%
25%
49%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
LIS
2 - 0
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
LIS
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
LIS
0 - 1
BAN
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
BAL
2 - 0
INS
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
INS
2 - 1
LAR
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ARC
0 - 3
INS
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
INS
2 - 1
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
BAN
0 - 2
INS
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |