Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
LIS
1 - 2
LIN
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
GLE
2 - 2
LIS
19%
23%
57%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 2
LIS
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LIS
5 - 2
INS
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIS
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 0
CRU
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
CRU
2 - 1
COL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BAN
0 - 5
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |