Linfield vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
LIN
13%
21%
66%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TOB
0 - 2
LIN
8%
16%
76%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 2
WAR
77%
14%
9%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
WAR
7 - 0
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CLI
2 - 2
WAR
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
COL
1 - 3
WAR
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 5
GLE
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |