Linfield vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIN
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
ARD
0 - 2
LIN
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAR
78%
16%
7%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
COL
1 - 3
LIN
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
MOY
2 - 3
LIS
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 0
QUB
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +3 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
NEY
0 - 4
LIS
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +3 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 2
DCC
76%
14%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
QUB
4 - 0
LIS
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |