Linfield vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIN
6%
19%
76%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
BAL
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
3 - 2
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
INS
2 - 0
DUN
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 3
INS
28%
24%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
9%
17%
74%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |