Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 1
LIN
11%
17%
72%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
LAR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 1
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
DUN
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
GLE
17%
20%
64%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 1
DUN
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 2
CLI
10%
21%
69%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |