Linfield vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
CRU
3 - 0
LIN
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
LIN
0 - 3
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
ARD
2 - 3
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
LIN
0 - 4
GLE
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
POR
3 - 2
LIN
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
BAN
1 - 6
GLE
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
POR
4 - 2
BAN
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
CLI
2 - 1
BAN
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
BAN
2 - 1
ARD
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
BAN
1 - 2
CRU
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |