Linfield vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
DUN
69%
18%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
CRU
47%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
25%
22%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 2
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LIN
4 - 2
WAR
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
LOU
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CLI
3 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 4
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
QUB
0 - 4
BAL
35%
23%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
BAL
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |