Linfield vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CLI
1 - 0
LIN
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 3
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
LIN
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
5 - 0
DER
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 3
CLI
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
BAL
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
HAR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
LIN
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
DUN
2 - 3
BAL
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |