Lincoln City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
MAC
4 - 0
LIN
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
LIN
0 - 1
NOT
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
STO
2 - 0
LIN
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
LIN
1 - 2
YOR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
GIL
4 - 0
LIN
59%
23%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
BPO
2 - 0
REA
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
REA
0 - 1
FUL
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1999 |
GIL
2 - 1
REA
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
REA
1 - 3
MAC
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
LUT
1 - 1
REA
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |