Lincoln City vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
WAL
1 - 2
LIN
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 0
GUL
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
NOT
3 - 1
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 0
POS
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
BCF
2 - 2
LIN
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
HER
0 - 2
STO
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
BCF
2 - 2
HER
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
HER
3 - 2
NOT
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
MAC
3 - 0
HER
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |