Limavady vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
LIM
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ARD
0 - 2
LIM
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIM
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LIM
9 - 0
BAN
77%
15%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WAR
4 - 1
LIM
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
INS
1 - 0
LAR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
LOU
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DER
1 - 0
INS
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 3
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
INS
3 - 4
BAN
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |