Lille vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
ASN
1 - 1
LIL
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
LIL
0 - 1
AMI
72%
18%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
FCM
1 - 3
LIL
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
LIL
1 - 0
LOR
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
FCG
4 - 0
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
TRO
3 - 0
FCM
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
ASB
0 - 1
TRO
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
TRO
0 - 1
CSL
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 0
TRO
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
TRO
1 - 2
ASS
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |