Lille vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
11.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1955 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
LYO
2 - 1
LIL
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
LIL
0 - 2
ASS
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1955 |
LIL
4 - 1
MET
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
RAC
2 - 1
LIL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1955 |
TRO
2 - 1
SED
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
RAC
1 - 1
TRO
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
TRO
4 - 4
ASN
44%
22%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1955 |
TRO
1 - 1
GIR
31%
22%
48%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
MET
2 - 1
TRO
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |