Lille vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
LIL
0 - 1
SOC
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
LIL
4 - 1
SPO
49%
28%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 0
LIL
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
ASS
0 - 0
LIL
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
LIL
0 - 0
MON
38%
31%
31%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |