Lille vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 2
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DIJ
0 - 0
LIL
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASS
39%
28%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LIL
4 - 1
EXC
83%
15%
2%
|
81 | 27 | 54 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
REN
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
REN
1 - 1
NAN
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
NAN
0 - 2
PSG
14%
22%
64%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
NAN
1 - 0
CAE
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 1
NAN
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
NAN
0 - 2
ASN
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |