Ligue 1 round 18

Lille vs Lens analysis

Lille Lens
87 ELO 86
-19.1% Tilt -16.3%
28º General ELO ranking 53º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.7%
Lille
27.7%
Draw
27.6%
Lens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
Lille
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.6%
Win probability
Lens
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lille
-4%
-5%
Lens

ELO progression

Lille
Lens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2005
VIL
Villarreal
1 - 0
Lille
LIL
64%
21%
15%
87 91 4 0
03 Dec. 2005
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
1 - 0
Lille
LIL
42%
28%
30%
87 86 1 0
26 Nov. 2005
LIL
Lille
1 - 0
Nancy
ASN
63%
23%
14%
87 78 9 0
22 Nov. 2005
LIL
Lille
0 - 0
Benfica
SLB
48%
27%
26%
87 86 1 0
19 Nov. 2005
AUX
Auxerre
3 - 2
Lille
LIL
48%
27%
25%
88 87 1 -1

Matches

Lens
Lens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2005
LEN
Lens
2 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
60%
23%
17%
86 83 3 0
27 Nov. 2005
PSG
PSG
3 - 4
Lens
LEN
53%
25%
22%
86 87 1 0
24 Nov. 2005
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 0
Lens
LEN
54%
25%
21%
86 87 1 0
19 Nov. 2005
LEN
Lens
0 - 0
Metz
MET
69%
19%
12%
86 79 7 0
11 Nov. 2005
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 0
Lens
LEN
30%
29%
42%
86 79 7 0