Ligue 1 Round 38

Lille vs Lens analysis

Lille Lens
76 ELO 82
-15.7% Tilt -9.4%
22º General ELO ranking 41º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.2%
Lille
29.8%
Draw
40%
Lens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
Lille
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
40%
Win probability
Lens
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lille
-1%
-5%
Lens

ELO progression

Lille
Lens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 1995
LHA
Le Havre
0 - 1
Lille
LIL
51%
27%
22%
75 78 3 0
20 May. 1995
LIL
Lille
1 - 0
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
25%
28%
47%
75 85 10 0
06 May. 1995
ASS
Saint-Étienne
3 - 3
Lille
LIL
55%
25%
19%
75 78 3 0
29 Apr. 1995
LIL
Lille
0 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
34%
31%
35%
75 81 6 0
15 Apr. 1995
FCM
FC Martigues
1 - 0
Lille
LIL
50%
26%
24%
75 72 3 0

Matches

Lens
Lens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 1995
LEN
Lens
2 - 0
Caen
CAE
65%
21%
14%
82 74 8 0
20 May. 1995
AUX
Auxerre
3 - 0
Lens
LEN
63%
21%
16%
82 87 5 0
06 May. 1995
LEN
Lens
2 - 2
Metz
MET
53%
25%
22%
82 81 1 0
29 Apr. 1995
MON
Monaco
6 - 0
Lens
LEN
59%
24%
18%
83 87 4 -1
15 Apr. 1995
LEN
Lens
3 - 0
Bastia
BAS
66%
21%
13%
82 74 8 +1