Lille vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
WAA
0 - 2
LIL
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ANG
1 - 2
LIL
22%
25%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
LIL
0 - 0
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
LEN
0 - 3
LIL
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
LIL
2 - 0
NIC
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 3
GEN
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
UTR
3 - 0
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FEY
1 - 1
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
GEN
0 - 0
SER
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
DIK
2 - 3
GEN
7%
16%
77%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |