Lille vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
NÎM
1 - 2
LIL
25%
31%
44%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 1
LIL
62%
23%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
LIL
0 - 0
AJA
60%
25%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AUX
3 - 0
LIL
56%
26%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
MPL
48%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
MET
3 - 0
GUI
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 0
TFC
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
MPL
2 - 0
GUI
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 2
MON
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MET
1 - 1
GUI
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |