Lille vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
ETG
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 0
LIL
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 1
GIR
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LIL
3 - 0
TFC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAE
2 - 3
DIJ
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 1
BAS
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
CAE
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
LYO
3 - 0
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 3
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |