Lille U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
QUE
1 - 8
LIL
16%
19%
65%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LIL
3 - 1
LEN
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LIL
2 - 1
AMI
55%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
TOU
3 - 2
LIL
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
TOU
2 - 2
LIL
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAE
3 - 1
PSG
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAI
0 - 6
CAE
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 2
HAV
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAE
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAE
7 - 0
RAC
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |