Lille II vs Vimy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
5º
3º
38
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 47 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
73% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
93% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
LIL
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 2
LIL
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 0
ESL
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AMI
0 - 2
LIL
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
LIL
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VIM
3 - 0
PDC
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LON
0 - 1
VIM
21%
21%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIM
3 - 2
AAC
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
VIM
48%
23%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VIM
1 - 0
USM
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |