Ligorna vs Città di Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
LIG
1 - 1
CAS
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
LIG
0 - 1
AST
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
LIG
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
LIG
1 - 0
CHI
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LAV
1 - 2
LIG
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AST
1 - 1
ASD
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 0
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASD
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 2
BOR
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GOZ
1 - 3
ASD
54%
25%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |