Ligny vs Pesche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NIS
1 - 3
LIG
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LIG
3 - 3
LOY
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
RHI
2 - 1
LIG
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LIG
3 - 4
WEP
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
4 - 0
LIG
24%
20%
56%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Pesche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LOY
2 - 1
PES
49%
22%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PES
1 - 0
WEP
12%
16%
73%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 2
PES
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PES
2 - 3
FOS
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
PES
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |