Primera A Finals . Final
Global 1-3
Liga de Quito vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
EME
3 - 1
LIG
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LIG
4 - 3
IVT
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
LIG
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EME
0 - 2
LIG
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
EME
3 - 1
LIG
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
EME
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
EME
3 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 3
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EME
0 - 2
LIG
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |