Liga de Quito vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
ULC
2 - 2
LIG
39%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 2
LIG
26%
27%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LIG
1 - 0
MAN
68%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
EME
1 - 1
LIG
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LIG
0 - 0
MUS
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 2
VEL
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 3
FLA
18%
23%
59%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 0
HUR
59%
24%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
ATT
2 - 0
VEL
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
TAL
1 - 1
VEL
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |