LD Maputo vs Ferroviário Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
LIG
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 1
HCB
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LIG
2 - 0
FCC
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
FER
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
COS
1 - 0
LIG
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
FER
40%
31%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
COS
1 - 0
FEN
54%
26%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
HCB
33%
30%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
UPM
0 - 1
FEN
44%
30%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
DES
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |