LD Maputo vs Ferroviário Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LD Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LIG
4 - 1
NIA
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
HCB
0 - 0
LIG
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
LIG
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 0
DMA
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
HCB
1 - 0
LIG
30%
30%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 2
FER
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 2
CHI
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 1
FER
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
FEN
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
FEN
31%
31%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |