1. Lyga Round 23

FK Jonava vs Žalgiris II analysis

FK Jonava Žalgiris II
37 ELO 44
15.5% Tilt 16.4%
6250º General ELO ranking 4192º
31º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
36%
FK Jonava
22.8%
Draw
41.2%
Žalgiris II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
FK Jonava
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
41.2%
Win probability
Žalgiris II
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Jonava
+76%
+72%
Žalgiris II

Points and table prediction

FK Jonava
Their league position
Žalgiris II
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
14º
16º
16º
28
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Transinvest Vilnius
70
70
100%
Be1 NFA
56
56
100%
Neptunas Klaipėda
51
51
0%
Nevezis
51
51
100%
FK Babrungas
51
51
0%
Minija Kretinga
51
51
0%
Riteriai II
46
46
100%
Garliava
40
40
100%
Ekranas Panevezys
39
39
100%
BFA
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Marijampolė City
16º
0
35
11º
100%
FK Siauliai 2
11º
33
33
12º
100%
Kauno Žalgiris II
12º
32
32
13º
100%
Panevėžys II
13º
31
31
14º
100%
Žalgiris II
14º
28
28
15º
100%
FK Jonava
15º
15
15
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
FK Jonava
Žalgiris II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

FK Jonava
Žalgiris II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Jonava
FK Jonava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2023
BEN
Be1 NFA
4 - 1
FK Jonava
LIE
66%
21%
14%
39 60 21 0
21 Oct. 2023
MCF
Marijampolė City
0 - 3
FK Jonava
LIE
62%
20%
19%
36 46 10 +3
13 Oct. 2023
BAB
FK Babrungas
2 - 1
FK Jonava
LIE
82%
12%
6%
36 53 17 0
07 Oct. 2023
LIE
FK Jonava
0 - 3
BFA
BFA
27%
23%
50%
38 47 9 -2
29 Sep. 2023
FKE
Ekranas Panevezys
4 - 3
FK Jonava
LIE
73%
17%
11%
38 56 18 0

Matches

Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2023
ZAL
Žalgiris II
1 - 1
Garliava
GKA
34%
23%
43%
42 51 9 0
23 Oct. 2023
SIA
FK Siauliai 2
3 - 0
Žalgiris II
ZAL
42%
23%
35%
44 43 1 -2
18 Oct. 2023
ZAL
Žalgiris II
2 - 2
Transinvest Vilnius
FKT
26%
24%
51%
43 60 17 +1
15 Oct. 2023
ZAL
Žalgiris II
2 - 3
Minija Kretinga
MIN
28%
23%
49%
44 51 7 -1
09 Oct. 2023
TRA
Riteriai II
1 - 1
Žalgiris II
ZAL
67%
18%
14%
43 52 9 +1