Lienden vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
61.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BAB
0 - 3
LIE
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
LIE
3 - 1
GER
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BEQ
2 - 0
LIE
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
LIE
4 - 0
SWZ
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ACH
1 - 1
LIE
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
VIT
3 - 1
ADO
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
SCH
0 - 2
VIT
77%
14%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 2
TWE
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
NEC
3 - 1
VIT
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |