Liefering vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
12º
6º
49
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
4 - 3
NIC
90%
8%
2%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
SVS
52%
21%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
4 - 0
LOM
36%
23%
41%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
5 - 1
BIS
80%
13%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCL
4 - 3
SVL
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
VIE
13%
18%
70%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 0
MUN
51%
22%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
DON
1 - 3
VIE
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 1
VIE
12%
18%
70%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 3
VIE
15%
20%
65%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |