Lidköping vs Ahlafors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
7º
5º
28
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 54 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 48 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 46 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 45 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 41 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 35 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 30 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 30 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 29 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 23 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 22 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lidköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
LID
1 - 0
VAN
57%
22%
22%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
KUM
0 - 0
LID
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
LID
1 - 0
TFC
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
LID
1 - 1
HER
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
VFK
1 - 1
LID
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ahlafors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 1
KUM
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
AIF
6 - 2
IFH
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 0
AIF
27%
21%
52%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
VAN
2 - 3
AIF
31%
22%
47%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AIF
3 - 3
MOT
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |