Lichterfelder vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
PRE
3 - 0
LIC
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
LIC
3 - 0
SVY
42%
26%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
TUR
0 - 2
LIC
55%
25%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
HAN
3 - 0
LIC
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
LIC
3 - 0
MSV
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BFC
1 - 3
BAK
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
NEU
1 - 1
BFC
56%
24%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BFC
1 - 1
SCH
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BFC
0 - 3
BAB
20%
25%
55%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -3 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PRE
1 - 0
BFC
27%
26%
48%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |