Lichtenberg vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
8º
2º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
ANK
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
LIC
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LIC
2 - 0
DSC
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 2
LIC
15%
20%
66%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
HZE
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SVS
6 - 1
SCS
66%
18%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 2
SVS
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 1
MAH
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
SVS
31%
21%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
TEN
56%
19%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |