Ferroviario Lichinga vs Ferroviário Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviario Lichinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
IDX
3 - 0
LIC
56%
26%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 2
FER
28%
30%
42%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LIG
1 - 2
LIC
65%
22%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LIC
2 - 1
FER
37%
29%
34%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
LIC
57%
27%
17%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
FER
0 - 1
COS
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
TEX
0 - 1
FER
33%
31%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
BBM
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
COS
30%
29%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
FER
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |