Libya vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
SEN
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZAM
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
19%
26%
55%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 1
LBY
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RWA
0 - 0
NGA
18%
29%
53%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
2 - 0
ZIM
23%
24%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TAN
0 - 1
RWA
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ERI
1 - 1
RWA
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |