Libertas vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
CAI
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
TPE
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
FAE
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 0
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 1
VIR
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
FIO
16%
22%
63%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 1
PEN
35%
27%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
JUV
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |