Libertas vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LIB
2 - 1
FIO
76%
17%
8%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIB
34%
25%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
SGI
2 - 3
LIB
18%
24%
59%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 4
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 1
FOL
78%
14%
7%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
SGI
0 - 2
VIR
16%
23%
62%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
VIR
3 - 0
FIO
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
VIR
1 - 0
FAE
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |