Libertas vs Tre Penne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 2
FAE
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 0
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TFI
0 - 0
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 0
LIB
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
VIR
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tre Penne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 1
TPE
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 2
TFI
53%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FAE
0 - 0
TPE
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TPE
0 - 0
LIB
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
TPE
2 - 2
FIO
32%
24%
45%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |