Libertas vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 0
LIB
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 1
FAE
69%
21%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
VIR
46%
26%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TFI
3 - 1
VIR
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
2 - 5
TFI
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 2
TFI
27%
23%
50%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TFI
3 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 2
TFI
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |