Libertas vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
9º
6º
23
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 3
LIB
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 3
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LIB
2 - 1
JUV
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 1
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SGI
0 - 2
VIR
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 2
SGI
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SGI
1 - 1
DOM
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TPE
3 - 1
SGI
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 2
SGI
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |