Libertas vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 0
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
TPE
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
4 - 0
LIB
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
FIO
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 0
LIB
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 2
FAE
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 1
COS
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 0
FIO
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 2
VIR
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TFI
2 - 0
FAE
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |