Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SGI
1 - 0
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
TFI
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FAE
2 - 1
LIB
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 3
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
COS
5 - 2
FAE
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
COS
3 - 1
FIO
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
COS
0 - 1
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
COS
0 - 4
FAE
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |