Libertad Concordia vs Santa María de Oro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
URU
2 - 1
LBC
81%
14%
6%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LBC
5 - 0
VIA
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SMO
0 - 1
LBC
19%
21%
60%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LBC
1 - 0
URU
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
LBC
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Santa María de Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SMO
1 - 0
COL
48%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
URU
0 - 2
SMO
90%
8%
2%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SMO
0 - 1
LBC
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ACH
2 - 1
SMO
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SMO
0 - 0
PSM
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |