Libertad Concordia vs Atlético Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LBC
1 - 0
DPR
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LSA
2 - 0
LBC
31%
24%
46%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LBC
2 - 1
BHU
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
VIA
2 - 1
LBC
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LBC
1 - 0
BEL
49%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
URU
1 - 1
BEL
83%
13%
4%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
9DJ
1 - 0
URU
15%
22%
62%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
URU
1 - 0
SAN
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
ACH
0 - 1
URU
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
URU
1 - 1
LBC
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | +1 |