Libertad vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CCP
1 - 0
LIB
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 2
AME
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 4
IND
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
21%
24%
55%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIB
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 0
GUA
19%
25%
57%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LQE
2 - 0
RPA
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 2
12O
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RPA
0 - 0
LQE
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CCP
3 - 1
RPA
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |