Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 2
UCE
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
28%
26%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
UCE
0 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
5 - 1
RPA
73%
17%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
LQE
4 - 2
OLI
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 4
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AME
0 - 2
OLI
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
CCP
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |