Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
25%
29%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 2
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
38%
29%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
4 - 0
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
STR
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 4
OLI
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
OLI
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |