Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
33
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LIB
4 - 2
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
AME
4 - 2
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 2
TEM
91%
8%
2%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
TAC
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |